Hybrid Machine Learning Models for Predicting Energy Consumption in Residential Building Types Using Architectural Features
Abstract
Energy management in residential buildings has become an important issue in today's time, as it accounts for a huge amount of energy consumption globally. In residential buildings, an appropriate prediction of energy use helps in promoting energy conservation and aids informed decision-making on issues that can help reduce consumption. Architectural design and building form are very relevant to the growth of energy consumption, mostly in residential areas. The present work is going to develop a model for predicting energy consumption for different types of residential buildings with the help of machine learning methods. In this paper, the SVR and CatBoost algorithms are combined with the HGS method for tuning and optimizing their hyperparameters to improve the accuracy of the predictions. The dataset used in this study comprises over a million records of Irish residential buildings, including terraced houses (type 1), detached houses (type 2), bungalows (type 3), and semi-detached houses (type 4), with 18 input features and two output variables: "Interior Lighting Energy" and "Total Heating Energy." The performance of both models is evaluated using numerical metrics, including MAE and MAPE for each energy variable. It provides insight that the SVR-HGS hybrid model was best at forecasting interior lighting energy with an MAE of 1.6761 and MAPE of 0.0029, and the CatBoost-HGS hybrid model gave the most accurate forecast of total heating energy with an MAE of 1817.8 and MAPE of 0.3587 in the buildings under examination.References
A. Ahmed, T. Ge, J. Peng, W.-C. Yan, B. T. Tee, and S. You, “Assessment of the renewable energy generation towards net-zero energy buildings: A review,” Energy Build, 256, 111755, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.111755
M. González-Torres, L. Pérez-Lombard, J. F. Coronel, I. R. Maestre, and D. Yan, “A review on buildings energy information: Trends, end-uses, fuels and drivers,” Energy Reports, 8, 626–637, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2021.11.280
P. Bakmohammadi and E. Noorzai, “Optimization of the design of the primary school classrooms in terms of energy and daylight performance considering occupants’ thermal and visual comfort,” Energy Reports, 6, 1590–1607, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2020.06.008
M. K. M. Shapi, N. A. Ramli, and L. J. Awalin, “Energy consumption prediction by using machine learning for smart building: Case study in Malaysia,” Developments in the Built Environment, 5, 100037, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dibe.2020.100037
T. Wilberforce, A. G. Olabi, E. T. Sayed, K. Elsaid, H. M. Maghrabie, and M. A. Abdelkareem, “A review on zero energy buildings–Pros and cons,” Energy and Built Environment, 4(1):25–38, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbenv.2021.06.002
Y. Sun, F. Haghighat, and B. C. M. Fung, “A review of the-state-of-the-art in data-driven approaches for building energy prediction,” Energy Build, 221, 110022, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2020.110022
A. Kumar, S. Sharma, N. Goyal, A. Singh, X. Cheng, and P. Singh, “Secure and energy-efficient smart building architecture with emerging technology IoT,” Comput Commun, 176, 207–217, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.comcom.2021.06.003
V. Pereira, J. Santos, F. Leite, and P. Escórcio, “Using BIM to improve building energy efficiency–A scientometric and systematic review,” Energy Build, 250, 111292, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.111292
Z. Pásztory, “An overview of factors influencing thermal conductivity of building insulation materials,” Journal of Building Engineering, 44, 102604, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2021.102604
M. Ilbeigi, M. Ghomeishi, and A. Dehghanbanadaki, “Prediction and optimization of energy consumption in an office building using artificial neural network and a genetic algorithm,” Sustain Cities Soc, 61, 102325, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2020.102325
R. Olu-Ajayi, H. Alaka, I. Sulaimon, F. Sunmola, and S. Ajayi, “Building energy consumption prediction for residential buildings using deep learning and other machine learning techniques,” Journal of Building Engineering, 45, 103406, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2021.103406
A.-D. Pham, N.-T. Ngo, T. T. H. Truong, N.-T. Huynh, and N.-S. Truong, “Predicting energy consumption in multiple buildings using machine learning for improving energy efficiency and sustainability,” J Clean Prod, 260, 121082, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121082
C. Lu, S. Li, and Z. Lu, “Building energy prediction using artificial neural networks: A literature survey,” Energy Build, 262, 111718, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.111718
L. Zhang et al., “A review of machine learning in building load prediction,” Appl Energy, 285, 116452, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116452
J. Ngarambe, G. Y. Yun, and M. Santamouris, “The use of artificial intelligence (AI) methods in the prediction of thermal comfort in buildings: Energy implications of AI-based thermal comfort controls,” Energy Build, 211, 109807, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2020.109807
S. Fathi, R. Srinivasan, A. Fenner, and S. Fathi, “Machine learning applications in urban building energy performance forecasting: A systematic review,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 133, 110287, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110287
S. Walker, W. Khan, K. Katic, W. Maassen, and W. Zeiler, “Accuracy of different machine learning algorithms and added-value of predicting aggregated-level energy performance of commercial buildings,” Energy Build, 209, 109705, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.109705
S. Seyedzadeh, F. P. Rahimian, S. Oliver, S. Rodriguez, and I. Glesk, “Machine learning modelling for predicting non-domestic buildings energy performance: A model to support deep energy retrofit decision-making,” Appl Energy, 279, 115908, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115908
S. K. Baduge et al., “Artificial intelligence and smart vision for building and construction 4.0: Machine and deep learning methods and applications,” Autom Constr, 141, 104440, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2022.104440
Y. Liu, H. Chen, L. Zhang, X. Wu, and X. Wang, “Energy consumption prediction and diagnosis of public buildings based on support vector machine learning: A case study in China,” J Clean Prod, 272, 122542, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122542
P. W. Khan and Y.-C. Byun, “Genetic algorithm based optimized feature engineering and hybrid machine learning for effective energy consumption prediction,” Ieee Access, 8, 196274–196286, 2020. DOI:10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3034101
D. Syed, H. Abu-Rub, A. Ghrayeb, and S. S. Refaat, “Household-level energy forecasting in smart buildings using a novel hybrid deep learning model,” IEEE Access, 9, 33498–33511, 2021. DOI:10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3061370
S. Ardabili, L. Abdolalizadeh, C. Mako, B. Torok, and A. Mosavi, “Systematic review of deep learning and machine learning for building energy,” Front Energy Res, 10, 786027, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.786027
R. Olu-Ajayi, H. Alaka, I. Sulaimon, F. Sunmola, and S. Ajayi, “Machine learning for energy performance prediction at the design stage of buildings,” Energy for Sustainable Development, 66, 12–25, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2021.11.002
M. Ghadiri, A. A. Rassafi, and B. Mirbaha, “The effects of traffic zoning with regular geometric shapes on the precision of trip production models,” J Transp Geogr, 78, 150–159, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2019.05.018
A. Rastgoo and H. Khajavi, “A novel study on forecasting the airfoil self-noise, using a hybrid model based on the combination of CatBoost and Arithmetic Optimization Algorithm,” Expert Syst Appl, 229, 120576, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120576
H. Khajavi and A. Rastgoo, “Improving the prediction of heating energy consumed at residential buildings using a combination of support vector regression and meta-heuristic algorithms,” Energy, 272, 127069, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.127069
H. Khajavi and A. Rastgoo, “Predicting the carbon dioxide emission caused by road transport using a Random Forest (RF) model combined by Meta-Heuristic Algorithms,” Sustain Cities Soc, 93, 104503, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2023.104503
Y. Zhang, Z. Zhao, and J. Zheng, “CatBoost: A new approach for estimating daily reference crop evapotranspiration in arid and semi-arid regions of Northern China,” J Hydrol (Amst), 588, 125087, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125087
M. Luo et al., “Combination of feature selection and catboost for prediction: The first application to the estimation of aboveground biomass,” Forests, 12(2):216, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/f12020216
R. Z. SAFAROV et al., “Solving of classification problem in spatial analysis applying the technology of gradient boosting catboost,” Folia Geographica, 62(1):112, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi12100416
G. Huang et al., “Evaluation of CatBoost method for prediction of reference evapotranspiration in humid regions,” J Hydrol (Amst), 574, 1029–1041, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.04.085
H. Drucker, C. J. Burges, L. Kaufman, A. Smola, and V. Vapnik, “Support vector regression machines,” Adv Neural Inf Process Syst, 9, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-30162-4_415
H. Yu and S. Kim, “SVM Tutorial-Classification, Regression and Ranking.,” Handbook of Natural computing, 1, 479–506, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-92910-9_15
E. Ghasemi, H. Kalhori, and R. Bagherpour, “A new hybrid ANFIS–PSO model for prediction of peak particle velocity due to bench blasting,” Eng Comput, 32, 607–614, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00366-016-0438-1
Y. Yang, H. Chen, A. A. Heidari, and A. H. Gandomi, “Hunger games search: Visions, conception, implementation, deep analysis, perspectives, and towards performance shifts,” Expert Syst Appl, 177, 114864, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.114864
H. Nguyen and X.-N. Bui, “A novel hunger games search optimization-based artificial neural network for predicting ground vibration intensity induced by mine blasting,” Natural Resources Research, 30(5):3865–3880, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-021-09903-8
W. S. AbuShanab, M. Abd Elaziz, E. I. Ghandourah, E. B. Moustafa, and A. H. Elsheikh, “A new fine-tuned random vector functional link model using Hunger games search optimizer for modeling friction stir welding process of polymeric materials,” journal of materials research and technology, 14, 1482–1493, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2021.07.031
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31449/inf.v50i9.7735Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors retain copyright in their work. By submitting to and publishing with Informatica, authors grant the publisher (Slovene Society Informatika) the non-exclusive right to publish, reproduce, and distribute the article and to identify itself as the original publisher.
All articles are published under the Creative Commons Attribution license CC BY 3.0. Under this license, others may share and adapt the work for any purpose, provided appropriate credit is given and changes (if any) are indicated.
Authors may deposit and share the submitted version, accepted manuscript, and published version, provided the original publication in Informatica is properly cited.







